Q
Who will Win Gujarat Assembly Elections 2017?
News at a Glance
Gujarat Assembly Polls to have 75000 VVPAT.

Gujarat Opinion Poll


As the tenure of the current legislative assembly in Gujarat expires in December 2017, assembly elections in the state will be held again towards the end of 2017 or in January, 2018. The BJP won convincingly in the last assembly elections while the Congress was the runner-up. The Patel community has emerged as an important component of the state's electorate over the last couple of years because of Hardik Patel's agitation and this is something that the main opposition Congress in the state is trying to bank upon. Needless to say, losing Gujarat to Congress would be a big setback for the BJP ahead of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections which it will try to avoid at all costs.

A number of pollsters and media agencies have conducted opinion polls and surveys to make an estimate of voters' sentiments and understand which party is in a better position to win the next Gujarat Assembly elections.

Gujarat Opinion Poll 2017 by ABP News-Lokniti CSDS Survey

The ABP-Lokniti election polls survey released in the month of August 2017, reveals that the BJP might come to power again in the state of Gujarat in the Upcoming Gujarat Elections 2017. The polls conducted forecast that BJP would emerge victorious with as many as 144-152 seats. The Indian National Congress is likely to get 29-32 seats. The opinion poll result shows that BJP, which has been in power for two decades, might continue its legacy. As per the poll, BJP is likely to do well in all parts of the state, including Saurashtra and Kutch regions where it is expected to get 65 percent votes. In terms of the Chief Minister of the state, 24 percent of the voters want Vijay Rupani in the position, while 7 percent want Narendra Modi to be back in the state. 2 percent voted in favor of chief Amit Shah and 43 percent of the voters preferred not to choose any names. On the question of the performance of the former Chief Minister Anandiben Patel and the incumbent Vijay Rupani, 34 percent voted for Rupani and 17 percent for Patel. 43 percent did not take any names.

Gujarat Opinion Poll by Indiatrendingnow

While the BJP is projected to get 47% of the vote share, the Congress' projection is 40% and the AAP just 2%. A snap poll by Indiatrendingnow conducted between 15 and 25 October 2016 has predicted a bigger voting share for BJP. According to it, the BJP is going to get 51.8% of the vote share, the Congress 26.3% and AAP 9.9%.

Political PartyVote Share
BJP51.8%
INC26.3%
AAP9.9%
Others2%
Can't Say10%

Survey by the Gujarat state unit of Congress

An internal survey by the Gujarat state unit of Congress in September, 2016 has revealed that the BJP may win 97 of the 182 seats in the 2017 Gujarat assembly elections. The survey goes on to say that the Congress may win a maximum of 85 seats. Sources quoting the report noted that the BJP would certainly get 52 seats mostly in urban areas and had 80-85% chance of winning another 45 seats.

RSS internal survey Result on Gujarat Election 2017

The RSS also conducted an internal survey in August 2016 to gauge voters' sentiments following the Dalit agitation in Una. The survey threw up disappointing results for the ruling BJP in Gujarat. The party was projected to win about 60 to 65 seats out of the total 182 seats in the state assembly.

Gujarat Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates

According to a survey conducted by VDP Associates, ruling party BJP is in a slightly better position than the Congress to win the elections.

Political PartyVote Share
BJP47%
INC40%
AAP2%
Others4%
Undecided/Don't Know yet7%

Opinion Poll of Other States Election
Punjab Opinion Poll 2017
Goa Opinion Poll 2017
Manipur Opinion Poll 2017
Uttarakhand Opinion Poll 2017
Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017




Last Updated on Sept 29, 2017


Track your constituency