If BJP is able to win 6 seats in bypolls then it will be able to save it's government in Karnataka, if BJP wins 7 seats then BJP will cross the Majority Mark in Karnataka Assembly. If BJP fails to Win even 6 seats in the bypolls then INC and JD(S) will again have an oppotunity to form a coalition government in Karnataka
Karnataka Opinion Poll 2018, Karnataka Exit Poll 2018
|Times Now-Chanakya exit polls predict:|
|Times Now-VMR exit polls predict:|
|News Nation Exit Poll|
|Others||3 - 5|
|Dighvijay 24/7 News Prediction|
|Suvarna's prediction for Karnataka|
|Others||1 - 4|
|C-Voter exit polls predict:|
|India Today-Axis exit polls predict:|
|Jan Ki Baat exit polls predict:|
Jan Ki Baat
Jan ki Baat conducted a pre-poll survey and revealed that there will be no clear majority, but the Bharatiya Janata Party will emerge as the largest party by winning 102-108 seats. The ruling Congress party will be able to secure only 72-75 seats and JD(S) is projected to bag only 42-44 seats. It is the second survey after Lokniti which has claimed that the BJP will be the single largest winner in the Karnataka polls.
ABP News-CSDS opinion poll
ABP- CDCS survey was conducted on April 23, which predicted the BJP, which has united after the split of 2013, will likely improve its vote share to 35% and emerge as the largest party by winning 89-95 seats. However, Congress will also improve its vote share to 37%, but will finish second with 85-91 seats. The survey also projected that JD(S) is going to win 32-38 seats. There are chances that the state of Karnataka would have a new government formed in coalition with the Janata Dal (Secular).
Times Now-VMR Survey
The Times Now-VMR Survey, which was also conducted on April 23, predicted the Congress is going to be the single largest party in the upcoming Karnataka polls with 91 seats while BJP will be the runner up getting a hold over 89 seats. The survey projected the tally of JD(S) at 40 seats. The Times Now-VMR Survey further stated the separate religion tag for Lingayats would not benefit the Congress though the party will be able to win 21 of the 50 seats in the Mumbai-Karnataka region.
Public TV conducted a pre-poll survey and released it on January 2, 2018. The survey predicted a hung assembly and JD(S) was dubbed as the kingmaker. The survey predicts 90-100 seat win for the INC and 85-95 seat for the BJP. Since both parties in the survey have not been able to gain majority, the party which would rule the southern state would be decided by who JD(S) would form an alliance with. The pre-poll survey predicts 40-45 seat win for the JD(S).
TV9-CVoter published a pre-poll survey on January 5, 2018. This survey too predicts a hung Assembly with main power lying with JD(S) to take one of the leading parties(BJP and Congress) to rulership. The INC is conjectured to win 102 seats, BJP 96 and JD(S) 15 with 'others' just 1.
CHS pre-poll survey
A pre-poll survey in the poll-bound state of Karnataka was leaked which clearly reflects the Assembly being hung. The survey was published on 13 January, 2018. The survey indicates a 73-76 seat win for the saffron party while Congress stands with 77-81 seats. The result is much to the displeasure of both the parties but JD(S) is content with the results, bagging seats in the range of 64-66. Rest of the 4-5 seats have been grabbed by other parties in the 224 member House. The survey was conducted by the CHS agency. As the results are out, it has suggested the parties to fight harder for the election to avoid the repeat of the results in the exit polls.
Creative Center for Political and Social Studies
The survey was published on February 2, 2018. The survey declared the BJP as a winner with 113 seats. The survey gives 85 seats to INC, and 25 to JDS. 'Others' is predicted to get 1 seat.
C-Fore Pre-Poll Survey
According to the pre-poll survey conducted by C-Fore (published on 26 March, 2018), Congress is most likely to stay in power. In 2013 too, C-Fore predicted the results with great accuracy. At the time, it predicted Congress win by 119-120 seats and the party got 122 seats. This year, the survey predicts victory for Congress by even bigger margin. According to it, Congress would bag 126 seats, BJP would get 70 and JD(S) 27 seats. There were total 22,357 respondents spread across 977 rural and 326 urban locations.