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Assembly Elections opinion poll 2018

WHY MP, CHHATTISGARH AND RAJASTHAN WILL VOTE DIFFERENTLY - Chintamani Shastri


Opinion poll 2018

The die is cast. The last round of State elections before the 2019 General Elections have been announced. We will know how the cookie crumbles on 11th December.

We at elections.in have done our calculations. The results are as follows:

StateTotalBJPCongressOthers
Rajasthan2003814121
Madhya Pradesh2301338017 (BSP: 7)
Chhattisgarh90552510
Telangana117852210


Rajasthan:

The reason BJP is losing Rajasthan is simply one: Vasundhara Raje. Her record of poor governance combined with naked corruption and unparalleled arrogance in the modern era means that there is no way even Modi can overcome the deep hatred that has built up against her. Never in the history of BJP has every single core voter group turned against it, as it has this time. Almost every feedback pointed to this result, but Modi and Shah in their wisdom chose to ignore this. Maybe they could not muster the courage to take on the haughty Maharani. So, they will pay for their insolence.

One might also say that they can see it coming but can't control as it was the case in Punjab. So, the best option is to ignore and play blame games after elections. Check Rajasthan Opinion/Exit Poll 2018

Madhya Pradesh:

MP will return BJP for the very reason it is getting rejected in Rajasthan. Shivaraj Chauhan's rootedness, and accessibility has blunted a 15-year anti-incumbency. Congres's inability to bring a genuine challenger to the fore is another reason. The Big Three are still devising a way to checkmate each other.

BSP will hurt Congress in Chambal and Bundelkhand. In spite of relative inefficiency of the Government and some disappointment in the BJP's core group at BJP's neglect of the Core Hindu Issues, Shivraj Singh Chauhan's public connect will win the day for BJP in Madhya Pradesh. Check Madhya Pradesh Opinion/Exit Poll 2018

Chhattisgarh:

Chhattisgarh has been a traditionally close race between BJP and Congress. However, the BSP-Jogi alliance is going to hurt Congress big time. For the first time in 15 years, the voting percentage gap between the two is likely to increase to 5% because of the Jog-BSP combine. Raman Singh continues to be popular, in spite of the 15-year anti-incumbency. Like Shivraj Singh Chauhan, Raman Singh is also adept at anger management. This makes it possible for him to tackle anti-incumbency. Congress lacks local leadership, which also makes it difficult for it to mount an effective challenge. Check Chhattisgarh Opinion/Exit Poll 2018

Last Updated on Oct 13, 2018


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