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Assembly Elections Opinion Poll 2018

Elections.in Vs Others - Poll of Exit Polls

StateStateTotal SeatsFor MajorityBJPCongressTRSBSPOthers
Elections.inMadhya Pradesh23011613091--9
Weighted average of other Exit polls Madhya Pradesh  110109-29
Elections.inRajasthan19910058130--11
Weighted average of other Exit polls Rajasthan  78110-110
Elections.inTelangana11960114258-8
Weighted average of other Exit polls Telangana  53967-8
Elections.inChhatisgarh90465233--5
Weighted average of other Exit polls Chhatisgarh  4142-43

Madhya Pradesh Election Results 2018 - Post Poll Analysis (District-Wise)

Constituency NameBJPINCIND/Other Party
Sheopur *110
Morena231
Bhind131
Gwalior240
Datia210
Shivpuri230
Gunna031
Ashok Nagar120
Sagar530
Tikamgarh311
Chhatrapur231
Damoh310
Panna120
Satna421
Rewa431
Sidhi220
Singrauli210
Shahdol210
Anuppur210
Umaria200
Katni220
Jabalpur530
Dindori200
Mandla120
Balaghat240
Seoni220
Narsinghpur220
Chhindwara250
Betul320
Harda200
Hoshangabad310
Raisen220
Vidisha320
Bhopal520
Sehore301
Rajgarh320
Agar200
Shajapur210
Dewas410
Khandwa310
Burhanpur200
Khargone420
Barwani310
Alirajpur200
Jhabua210
Dhar331
Indore630
Ujjain430
Ratlam410
Mandsaur220
Neemuch210
TOTALBJP: 130Congress: 91Others: 9
*5Dots (Elections.in) - Chitamani Poll (+/-8)

Exit Poll Madhya Pradesh Election Results 2018

BJPCongressBSPOthers
Elections.in13091-9
Republic TV- Jan ki Baat108-12895-11507
Times Now- CNX1268969
Republic TV- C Voter90-106110-12606-22
ABP News- CSDS94126010
News Nation108-112105-109011-15
News X- Neta10611248
India TV- CNX122-13086-924-88-10
News 24- Pace Media10312502
India Today- Axis My India102-120104-1221-33-8

Chhattisgarh Election Results 2018 - Post Poll Analysis (Parliament Constituency-Wise)

RegionParliamentary ConstituencyNo. of SeatsBJPCongressOthers
Chhattisgarh NorthSurguja, Raigarh, Korba241572
Chhattisgarh CentralJanjfir-Champa, Bilaspur, Raipur, Durg3418133
Chhattisgarh SouthMahasamund, Rajnandgaon, Bastar, Kanker321913-
 TOTAL9052335
*5Dots (Elections.in) - Chitamani Poll (+/-5)

Exit Poll Chhattisgarh Election Results 2018

BJPCongressBSP+Others
Elections.in5233-5
Republic TV- Jan ki Baat40-4837-435-60-1
Times Now- CNX463572
Republic TV- C Voter35-4340-503-70-Jan
ABP News- CSDS523503
News Nation38-4240-444-80-4
News X- Neta434061
India TV- CNX42-5032-386-81-3
News 24- Pace Media365004
India Today- Axis My India21-3155-6504-8

Rajasthan Election Results 2018 - Post Poll Analysis

Region District Total Seats BJPCongressOthersRemarks
Marwar (Western Rajasthan)Jaisalmer2200-
Marwar (Western Rajasthan)Barmer 7061-
Marwar (Western Rajasthan)Jalore5131-
Marwar (Western Rajasthan)Sirohi3120-
Marwar (Western Rajasthan)Pali6420-
Marwar (Western Rajasthan)Jodhpur10370-
Marwar (Western Rajasthan)Nagaur10181-
Marwar (Western Rajasthan) TOTAL=4310303-
Bikana-Shekhawati (North Rajasthan)Bikaner7241-
Bikana-Shekhawati (North Rajasthan)GangaNagar6051-
Bikana-Shekhawati (North Rajasthan)Hanumangarh5230-
Bikana-Shekhawati (North Rajasthan)Churu6240-
Bikana-Shekhawati (North Rajasthan)Jhunjhunu7250-
Bikana-Shekhawati (North Rajasthan)Sikar8251-
Bikana-Shekhawati (North Rajasthan) TOTAL=3910263-
Jaipur-Ajmer-Tonk (Central Rajasthan)Jaipur198101-
Jaipur-Ajmer-Tonk (Central Rajasthan)Ajmer7340-
Jaipur-Ajmer-Tonk (Central Rajasthan)Tonk4130-
Jaipur-Ajmer-Tonk (Central Rajasthan) TOTAL=3012171-
Matsya (East Rajasthan) - Polling 33Dausa5221-
Matsya (East Rajasthan) - Polling 33Alwar102521 Countermanded
Matsya (East Rajasthan) - Polling 33Bharatpur7250-
Matsya (East Rajasthan) - Polling 33Dholpur4220-
Matsya (East Rajasthan) - Polling 33Karauli4220-
Matsya (East Rajasthan) - Polling 33Sawai Madhopur4130-
Matsya (East Rajasthan) - Polling 33 TOTAL=34111931 Countermanded
Hadoti (S-E Rajasthan)Bundi3021-
Hadoti (S-E Rajasthan)Kota6330-
Hadoti (S-E Rajasthan)Baran4130-
Hadoti (S-E Rajasthan)Jhalawar4220-
Hadoti (S-E Rajasthan)TOTAL=76101-
Mewar (South Rajasthan)Chittor6150-
Mewar (South Rajasthan)Pratapgarh2180-
Mewar (South Rajasthan)Banswara4220-
Mewar (South Rajasthan)Dungarpur5340-
Mewar (South Rajasthan)Udaipur9180-
Mewar (South Rajasthan)Rajsamand4220-
Mewar (South Rajasthan)Bhilwara7340-
Mewar (South Rajasthan) TOTAL=379280-
OVERALL TALLY 20058130111 Countermanded
*5Dots (Elections.in) - Chitamani Poll (+/-5) [Provisional Data]

Exit Poll Rajasthan Election Results 2018

BJPCongress+BSP+Others
Elections.in53131016
Republic TV- Jan ki Baat83-10381-101015
Times Now- CNX8510527
Republic TV- C Voter52-68129-14505-11
ABP News- CSDS83101015
First India Rajasthan83110-115015-25
News X- Neta65-7011207
India TV- CNX80100-1101-36-8
News 24- Pace Media80-90110-12005-15
News Nation70-8099-10305-9
India Today- Axis My India89-93119-1411-33-8

Telangana Election Results 2018 - Post Poll Analysis

RegionDistrictTotal SeatsTRSCongress+BJPOthers
North Telangana (Old District)Adilabad106310
North Telangana (Old District)Medak108200
North Telangana (Old District)Karimnagar1310210
North Telangana (Old District)Nizamabad97110
North Telangana (Old District)Nizamabad127500
North Telangana (Old District) TOTAL=54381330
Greater Hyderabad Ranga Reddy147520
Greater Hyderabad Hyderabad152337
Greater Hyderabad TOTAL=299857
South Telangana Mahbubnagar144820
South Telangana Nalgonda125610
South Telangana Khammam 102800
South Telangana TOTAL=36112230
OVERALL TOTAL  1195842117
*5Dots (Elections.in) - Chitamani Poll (+/-5) [Provisional Data]

Exit Pol Telangana Election Results 2018

TRSCongress+BJPOthers
Elections.in5842117
Republic TV- Jan ki Baat50-6538-524-78-14
Times Now- CNX663779
TV9 Telugu- AARA75-8525-352-37-11
Republic TV- C Voter48-6047-5951-13
News Nation53-5751-551-54-12
TV 9- C.P.S.84-8919-2129
News X- Neta5746610


Phase 1 - Chhattisgarh Prediction/ Opinion Poll


Opinion Poll


Seat Tally - 18 Seats

  • BJP - 12; Congress - 6; BSP+ - 0

  • Vote Percentage

  • BJP - 44%; Congress - 41%; BSP+ - 8%

  • Seats in Phase 1
    No. of the Assembly ConstituencyName of the Assembly ConstituencyName of the Districts
    73KhairagarhRajnandgaon
    74Dongargarh (SC)Rajnandgaon
    75RajnandgaonRajnandgaon
    76DongargaonRajnandgaon
    77KhujjiRajnandgaon
    78Mohla-Manpur (ST)Rajnandgaon
    79Antagarh (ST)Uttar Bastar(Kanker)
    80Bhanupratappur (ST)Uttar Bastar(Kanker)
    81Kanker (ST)Uttar Bastar(Kanker)
    82Keshkal (ST)Kondagaon
    83Kondagaon (ST)Kondagaon
    84Narayanpur (ST)Narayanpur / Bastar (Jagdalpur) / Kondagaon
    85Bastar (ST)Bastar(Jagdalpur)
    86JagdalpurBastar(Jagdalpur) / Sukuma
    87Chitrakot (ST)Bastar(Jagdalpur) / Sukuma
    88Dantewada (ST)Dakshin Bastar (Dantewada)
    89Bijapur (ST)Bijapur
    90Konta (ST)Sukuma

    WHY MP, CHHATTISGARH AND RAJASTHAN WILL VOTE DIFFERENTLY - Chintamani Shastri


    Opinion poll 2018

    The die is cast. The last round of State elections before the 2019 General Elections have been announced. We will know how the cookie crumbles on 11th December.

    We at elections.in have done our calculations. The results are as follows:

    StateTotalBJPCongressOthers
    Rajasthan2003814121
    Madhya Pradesh2301338017 (BSP: 7)
    Chhattisgarh90552510
    Telangana117852210


    Rajasthan:

    The reason BJP is losing Rajasthan is simply one: Vasundhara Raje. Her record of poor governance combined with naked corruption and unparalleled arrogance in the modern era means that there is no way even Modi can overcome the deep hatred that has built up against her. Never in the history of BJP has every single core voter group turned against it, as it has this time. Almost every feedback pointed to this result, but Modi and Shah in their wisdom chose to ignore this. Maybe they could not muster the courage to take on the haughty Maharani. So, they will pay for their insolence.

    One might also say that they can see it coming but can't control as it was the case in Punjab. So, the best option is to ignore and play blame games after elections. Check Rajasthan Opinion/Exit Poll 2018

    Madhya Pradesh:

    MP will return BJP for the very reason it is getting rejected in Rajasthan. Shivaraj Chauhan's rootedness, and accessibility has blunted a 15-year anti-incumbency. Congres's inability to bring a genuine challenger to the fore is another reason. The Big Three are still devising a way to checkmate each other.

    BSP will hurt Congress in Chambal and Bundelkhand. In spite of relative inefficiency of the Government and some disappointment in the BJP's core group at BJP's neglect of the Core Hindu Issues, Shivraj Singh Chauhan's public connect will win the day for BJP in Madhya Pradesh. Check Madhya Pradesh Opinion/Exit Poll 2018

    Chhattisgarh:

    Chhattisgarh has been a traditionally close race between BJP and Congress. However, the BSP-Jogi alliance is going to hurt Congress big time. For the first time in 15 years, the voting percentage gap between the two is likely to increase to 5% because of the Jog-BSP combine. Raman Singh continues to be popular, in spite of the 15-year anti-incumbency. Like Shivraj Singh Chauhan, Raman Singh is also adept at anger management. This makes it possible for him to tackle anti-incumbency. Congress lacks local leadership, which also makes it difficult for it to mount an effective challenge. Check Chhattisgarh Opinion/Exit Poll 2018

    Last Updated on December 9, 2018


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