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Punjab Elections 2017: Navjot Singh Sidhu files nomination from Amritsar East | Captain Amarinder Singh files nomination from Lambi | The Congress Party declared 117 candidates for Punjab Polls 2017 | BJP Releases List 23 Candidates for Punjab Polls | Polling in Punjab will be held on February 4th | The counting will take place on 11th March

Punjab Opinion Poll

The Punjab Assembly elections will be held in single phase on February 4, 2017. The state has witnessed hectic campaigning by all the main political contenders including SAD, Congress and AAP. Various media agencies have conducted opinion poll surveys to gauge the mood of the voting public to know which way the wind is blowing.

A survey conducted by Huffington Post India and CVoter has indicated that the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is set to clinch majority in the state with 100 seats. The opinion poll conducted by VDP Associates has also come up with similar results. The results of the opinion poll conducted by Elections.in has thrown up mixed results. The website had posed the question whether the Aam Aadmi Party will win majority in Punjab Assembly Elections 2017. While 44% of the respondents said yes, 45% said that it will sit in opposition.

Although it is difficult to predict the outcome of Punjab Assembly elections 2017, there is no doubt that the Aam Aadmi Party is going to be a crucial new contender in the race this time. In the last Assembly elections held in 2012, the SAD-BJP alliance won majority. This time around, it faces the challenge of anti-incumbency. Besides, the Congress and Aam Aadmi Party are going to give a tough competition to the ruling alliance.

Punjab Assembly Elections 2017: Opinion Poll Results

Media AgenciesMonthsSAD-BJPINCAAPOthers
India Today-AxisJan 201718-2256-6236-411-4
Lokniti-ABP-CSDSJan 201750-5841-4912-18N/A
India Today-AxisOct 201617-2149-5542-463-7
VDP AssociatesOct 2016615933
TV24 IndiaAugust 201620-2527-3570-80N/A
India Trending NowAugust 20169-1416-2085-89N/A
HuffPost-C VoterMarch 20166-128-1494-1000-3

Following is a detailed break-up of the results of different opinion polls conducted by independent media agencies:

India Today-Axis Opinion Poll on Punjab

According to a pre-poll survey conducted by India Today in association with Axis in December 2016, a down-and-out Congress may finally make a stunning comeback in Punjab in the coming assembly elections in the state which are scheduled to be held exactly a month from now. The opinion poll has given the Sonia Gandhi-led Congress party 56 to 62 seats in the 117-member Punjab Assembly. The Akali Dal-BJP combine has been in power in Punjab for two consecutive terms and they are facing a strong anti-incumbency. They may be reduced to just 18 to 22 seats. The other contesting party is BSP, which commands sizeable Dalit votes in the state. It may bag one to four seats.

As revealed by the survey, 33 per cent of the respondents said they want Amarinder Singh as their Chief Minister while incumbent Parkash Singh Badal is favoured by 22 per cent. Kejriwal also makes it to the list by being the choice of 16 per cent of the respondents. Others in the reckoning are Bhagwant Mann (9 per cent), Navjot Singh Sidhu (5 per cent), Sukhbir Badal (3 per cent) and HS Phoolka (1 per cent). A whopping 39 per cent of the respondents said the BJP should end its alliance with the Akali Dal while 28 per cent were okay with the alliance. Punjab will vote in a single-phase election along with Goa on February 4. The results will be counted on March 11.

PartySeat Share
Others1 - 4

Punjab Opinion Poll by Lokniti-ABP News

The ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS opinion poll has projected that the ruling Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD)-BJP combine are going to be locked in a tough contest with the Congress in Punjab and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) coming third. It gave 50-58 out of the total 117 seats to the SAD-BJP alliance, 41-49 to the Congress and 12-18 to the AAP.

PartySeat ShareVotes Share %
Congress 41-4931

India Today-Axis Opinion Poll on Punjab Assembly Elections 2017

Results of the India Today-Axis Opinion Poll, published on 13 October 2016, have indicated that if elections were to be held in Punjab today, the Congress would win 49 to 55 seats and emerge as the single largest party in the state. Arvind Kejriwal's Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which had triggered massive interest among voters but also bitter dissent within, is predicted to be a close runner-up with 42 to 46 seats. The Congress tally would fall short of the majority mark in the 117-member state Assembly, because of which it may to go for an alliance with Navjot Singh Sidhu's newly formed Aawaz-e-Punjab. Sidhu's party might manage to secure a few seats and help the two reach the magic figure of 59 in order to form government in the state. With a sample size of 6,552, the survey was conducted on the basis of one-on-one interviews and a set of questions covering all 117 constituencies of the state.

PartySeats ShareVote Share

Punjab Election 2017 Opinion Poll by VDP Associates

PartySeat Share
(Oct 2016)
Vote Share

Punjab Election 2017 Opinion Poll by India Trending Now

PartySeat Projection (Aug 2016)
SAD-BJP 9-14
INC 16-20
AAP 85-89

Punjab Election 2017 Opinion Poll by TV24 India

PartySeat Projection (Aug 2016)
SAD-BJP 20-25
INC 27-35
AAP 70-80

Punjab Election 2017 Opinion Poll by HuffPost-C Voter

What should come as a surprise for many, the recently conducted opinion poll by HuffPost-CVoter has indicated an emphatic win for the Aam Admi Party (AAP) in the upcoming Punjab assembly elections in 2017. The AAP is expected to get anything between 94 and 100 seats in the 117-seat Punjab Legislative Assembly. It’s a sharp rise from the poll projection in 2015.

Party / AllianceSeat Projection (April 2015)Seat Projection(March 2016)

According to the CVoter-HuffPost poll, the Congress Party is in the second position but trailing by a long margin. It is expected to win 8-14 seats in the Assembly, down from the 12-18 seats projected in 2015. The SAD-BJP alliance is a distant third with the party is unlikely to win more than 6-12 seats.

Punjab Election 2017 Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates

Forecast vote % and seats
as per Opinion Poll July 2016
Actual vote % and Seats in
the 2012 election
PartySeatsVote %SeatsVote %

Exit Poll Latest News And Updates

January 06, 2017 04:09 PM
According to an opinion poll conducted by India Today in association with Axis in December 2016, the Congress may finally make a comeback in Punjab ..... Read More
October 27, 2016 12:06 PM
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has been campaigning actively in Punjab to woo voters for the upcoming Assembly elections in 2017. While answering questio..... Read More
October 27, 2016 12:04 PM
Union Minister Narendra Singh Tomar, who has also been appointed as the BJP's Punjab election in-charge, exuded confidence that the SAD-BJP alli..... Read More
October 14, 2016 10:59 AM
The Congress is likely to win 49 to 55 seats and emerge as the single largest party in the forthcoming Punjab assembly elections, according to India..... Read More

Opinion Poll of Other States
UP Opinion Poll 2017
Goa Opinion Poll 2017
Manipur Opinion Poll 2017
Uttarakhand Opinion Poll 2017
Gujarat Opinion Poll 2017

Last Updated on Jan 10, 2016

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