Madhya Pradesh Opinion Poll overview
With the assembly election in Madhya Pradesh just a few days later, political parties are leaving no stones unturned to gain attention of the masses and attack rivals over key issues. A section of political analysts is of the view that the ruling BJP government in the state, led by CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan, may score yet another victory. In the 2008 assembly poll, BJP had trounced the competition by bagging 143 seats out of total 230. However, this time they may have to let go of certain seats. Even then the party might be able to retain a majority to form the government, predict veterans.
CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan is expected to race ahead of other CM contenders in the upcoming state assembly elections. The early surveys indicate that Chouhan may win favor of over 50% of voters in the state, and that Congress's Jyotiraditya Scindia is likely to get overshadowed by him. The fact that a significant part of state population seems satisfied with BJP's performance on issues like employment and electricity may work in the party's favor. The only concern that the CM may have is people's growing anger about corruption cases his party faces.
To unseat the ruling BJP government in the state, the Congress is resorting to every possible means, as is evident from the latest developments. The party will resort to using star power for campaign, as expected. Sachin Tendulkar and Bollywood diva Rekha are likely to be two of its star campaigners, as per latest news. The list of campaigners has already been submitted to the party's central leadership for nod. Both Rekha and Tendulkar were nominated for the Parliament's upper house last year. They are yet to accept the offer, though. Jyotiraditya Scindia, Congress's contender for the post of CM, has close ties with the ace cricketer.
While the popularity of Rekha and Tendulkar will lure the masses to an extent, it also indicates that the Congress is skeptical about relying on its core members for the upcoming election. Two things are evident here. The party cannot bank entirely on the image of youth leader and VP Rahul Gandhi and secondly, it is apprehensive about its link with young urban voters. The VP Rahul Gandhi, however, sounded confident about his party claiming back the seat from the BJP government.
Reiterating the earlier remarks made by Digvijay Singh, the Congress General Secretary, Rahul Gandhi said when Congress fights in a united manner no party can stand in its way. Mr. Gandhi referred to his 2005 visit to Bundelkhand, during which he mingled with the poor and shared meals with them while discussing development issues. He also pointed out that following his visit, the central government allotted a 4,750 crore package for the state. Other Congress heavyweights who were present at the rally were Union Ministers Jyotiraditya Scindia and Kamal Nath.
Sanjay Nirupam, Congress's state in-charge secretary, took a dig at the BJP and said the party is putting its hopes on Nardendra Modi for prime ministerial race and has no one else to count on. He said his party will attack the ruling BJP on issues like corruption, power and roads for the upcoming election. While the Congress is trying every means possible to whip up mass sentiment against the BJP, it is too early to say whether that will be enough to unseat the ruling party.
Madhya Pradesh Poll predictions
According to the opinion polls, the BJP will emerge the dominant part in the state, with 57% seats. However, the party will lose 13 seats in the process. The Congress is likely to improve its share to 36%, although it will be insufficient to form the government. The remaining 7% seats will go to other parties.
Last Updated on 11/08/2013