Will the BJP beat the Congress in Karnataka?
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Karnataka Assembly Elections 2018 | Karnataka Vidhan Sabha Election 2018

Karnataka Assembly Election 2018

Karnataka Legislative Assembly Election 2018 is likely to be held in the month of April as the term for the state ends in May 2018. The dates of polls for Karnataka Assembly election contest in 225 constituencies will soon be declared by the Election Commission. Some notable constituencies include Mangalore, Raichur, Bellary, Mysore, Bijapur North, Bijapur South, Udupi and Badami.

Current Scenario

Currently, the state is under the rule of the Congress party. The party holds 123 seats in Karnataka assembly while BJP registered only 44 seats in the last Karnataka Assembly (Vidhan Sabha) elections. Most of the states in the country are under the saffron rule and this invites a strong competition between these two major parties of the nation.

Defection: A Major Challenge Surfacing for Congress

Congress suffered a blow ahead of the 2018 Karnataka assembly election as many of its veteran party leaders defected to BJP. First, it was former cabinet minister Srinivas Prasad and then came the resignation of the former CM S M Krishna. Other senior leaders like MLC D Made Gowda too quit the party and there is further possibility that others will follow the suit too.

Anti-Incumbency Factor: May Prove a Downfall for the Congress

Another problem that Congress might face is the crime report of the state and the Congress rule in the state is far from a clean chit. Under the current Siddarmaiah's government, Karnataka got listed in states with the highest corruption and regular surfacing of scam reports does not help the case either. The anti-incumbency factor is likely to work against the INC.

How will Caste Equation Play out for the Congress?

According to the reports, the Lingayats have dropped down to 9.8% in population, while earlier it was 17%. This could pose a problem for parties relying on the Lingayat vote. Congress in the last (2013) Karnataka assembly elections, won by bagging 15% of the community's vote.

The top slot among the minority is taken by the Dalits, who account for 18% now. But their inclination towards Congress is not well known. The situation for Congress, however, is not completely bleak. The party can take advantage of the division in the Lingayat community on the basis of identity. To woo the communities, CM Siddaramaiah is taking all the necessary steps from distributing free laptops to promising a rise in the reservation form 50 to 70%.

BJP Too is Gearing Up

While Congress is climbing mountains for swaying the votes, BJP too is not left too far behind. BJP national president Amit Shah visited Karnataka on the eve of New Year to get a better measure of party's preparation in the state assembly polls. He also conducted a meeting with the party's MPs and legislators.

A fierce competition for the polls seems inevitable in the state with both parties seeming to leave no stone unturned.

Last Updated on January 8, 2018

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