The Supreme Court with its decision that upheld former Karnataka assembly speaker K.R. Ramesh Kumar to disqualify 17 rebel Congress-Janata Dal (Secular) legislators for defection but defected MLA’s can contest elections, Supreme Court by this decision, very justly put the ball in the court of ‘people of Karnataka’, reinstated why in a democracy people are supreme, but provided another twist to already a topsy-turvy political labyrinth in Karnataka. BJP advanced its dream of ‘congress-mukth bharath’ by establishing its government in the state. But with upcoming byelections for 15 assembly seats going for polls on December 5 and counting will be held on December 9 and its Maharastra backlash the uncertain times hover over its dreams. Congress with a fillip of its presence in Maharastra, banking its resurgence on winning the by-poll and establishing its government in state with Janata Dal (Secular) throws the polity of state into uncertainty. Never in the history of India, a by-poll so keenly watched, will fix the jigsaw of who will be the next CM.
The game of establishing political proxies heats up when the state goes for by-poll on December 5.
Uncertainly in Karnataka, politics is predominantly due to multiple scenarios that the by-poll can result in.BJP+ tally in Karnataka assembly is 106, short of the majority mark, mainly formed government because of defected MLA’s. Hence its future pans on how defected MLA’s perform in by-poll. First scenario, that BJP doesn’t lose its majority, then BJP will form the government. The second scenario is a tricky one if BJP loses its majority, this is the scenario the congress is banking on. The third scenario defected MLA’s winning the elections not want to participate in government. The third scenario is ruled out, since its unreal. Congress which is banking on the second scenario signaling to JD(s), that it is ready to dump its previous bitter hatchet’s and again ready to team up, making this by-poll an intriguing contest.
I conclude, with the supreme court judgment,Karnataka’s political situation turned into uncertainty, which makes the by-poll an interesting one. The political situation in Karnataka can change political equations at the center. Its is up to the people of Karnataka , how they clear the fuzzy situation.