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Assembly Elections 2018: A recent exclusive survey conducted concludes that BJP is quite ahead of Congress in the assembly polls in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. While in Rajasthan Congress is quite ahead of BJP. Notably, apart from Uttar Pradesh, these three states (Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan), more than others, are possibly going to decide the fate of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the Congress in 2019 Lok Sabha polls.
In exclusive survey Rajasthan seems to give a clear picture of the Congress winning this time. Congress can get about 50 per cent of the vote share in Rajasthan. The survey predicts around 131 seats for the Congress in the 200-member House. While Rajasthan appears to be swept by the Congress, in Madhya Pradesh Shivraj Singh Chouhan is still the voters’ first choice for chief minister. The opinion poll says that 61% of the people of Madhya Pradesh opts BJP’s Shiv Raj Singh Chouhan as the CM of the state.
Survey gives 130 seats to the BJP in the 230-member Madhya Pradesh House and 90 to the congress. While others get 10 votes. Although in Chhattisgarh Congress seems to have an edge according to the opinion poll but Chief Minister Raman Singh is the voters’ top choice for the CM candidate.
In survey puts forward projections for the 65 Lok Sabha seats and 520 Assembly seats that fall under these three Hindi-belt states (Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan). As far as Lok Sabha projections are concerned, the BJP is likely to win 43 out of 65 seats, and Congress 22. In 2013, the BJP won 62 and Congress 3 seats.
Rajasthan will go to polls in a single phase on December 7 along with Telangana. While Chhattisgarh voted in two-phase elections on November 12 and 20 and Madhya Pradesh and Mizoram voted on November 28. Results will be declared in all states (Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Mizoram, Telangana) on December 11. The results, billed as the semi-final to the big battle for Lok Sabha in 2019, will be declared on December 11.
While many believe that the results of 2018 assembly polls are a precursor to 2019 elections, the fact is that BJP has still quite a hold in National Politics as the people perceive that currently there is no alternative to Modi to take on the job of being the prime minister of the country.